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2011年10月24日

Ba Fei especially

Bear market under study Ba Fei especially can solution set
The world took place this year a rare big this year disaster, Chinese stock market this year is also again and again bottom.The many people adopts ostrich policy, don't see not to listen to not to ask not to think, the software on the computer also seldom opened to see, the funds account more didn't dare to face again, special subject convene and this is clearly contrary with ambition life ambition for past to buy stock.

Experienced time of good feeling, some investors say with me, they can earn the wages in quite a few month for a day, very fantastic.But start to ask a stock now, they answer like this:"Have already beaten to offer a 70% discount towards folding, even, stay to my son, wait my son to grow up, always should meeting solution set?"

Encourage "set middleman" persistence at this time of, is the most successful investor in probably global stock to expect thin especially Sir.Someone says that you see Ba Fei especially does a stock want to take for 35 decades, I also want to study from him.I counter-question:"Why expect thin outstanding in the United States but not in Japan?Why expect thin outstanding is the big disaster after in 1929?"The Japanese stock market is as long as 20 years of great bear City, certainly not expect thin expect especially and besides thin not only caught up especially the United States is as long as 70 years of economic growth period, more lucky was born at the stock price of lowest fan of time, wait the time that he starts buying a stock, all horrifyingly sell at a discount on the market goods.So, produce Ba Fei especially is needing exterior is conditional-the current trend of events build hero.

More serious problem BE, greatly parts of persons buying a stock is small to earn to hurriedly throw at 1:00 and compare with own wages smug,protect a sum need but fall 20% above but Be not willing to Sun.Thus, inside in the bull market didn't earn how much, the whole great bear City poured to all eat up profits, even the principal also lose miserably heavy.This circumstance is to come to a bull market again, also can not definitely solution set.After some years and even if solved a set, how much does the opportunity cost and time lost's cost have again?(10,000 dollars wanted after some years and current of 10,000 dollars how ability equivalent)

In fact, currently stock market regardless from a macroscopic side is still a tiny view basic situation, from a peripheral environment is still an internal structure, and the supply relation of stock market to see, market's circulating trends don't change and left to walk strong still differ very far.For have been deep set of of person come to say, everyone probably has already had no courageous cut Cang here, but have two very decisive operations of important point, have to remind the amateur of quilt sack.

The first, the most people more falls to more buy, this is very dangerous.Before all of the trend not yet finished turn over, if must throw money and go in and do short line,manages financealso want and remember to be quick and enter a quick, must can not become"dead money" to"live money".

The second, greatly parts of persons like to buy a rise to be smaller of, cheaper garbage, this is very dangerous.Since have the misfortune to system that bear big dish's slump risk, should as far as possible get around system the risk change into an index number type the being turned by the edge ETF or LOF not fund, so can't appear big dish to fall a half,Don't give him money it falls seven, the risk of 80%.See foreign stock market large numbers of several hair money even several cent, the garbage of money, see our garbage of several dollars again,do not make person terrible?
  


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