2011年07月13日

global stock market

The Italian obligation storm inflicts a heavy losses on global stock market
Debt crisis misgiving in Europe turns worse to snuff out global financial market a person spirit, the global stock market widespreadly tumbles on the 12th, however successfully deliver a debt to make Italian stock market an only show.Currently

Medium new agency cite a Chinese stock certificate report report way on July 13, debt crisis in Europe has already had an overall upgrade power head currently and is subjected to this influence, the global stock market widespreadly and significantly slips on the 12th.Market now not only to the euro area outer circle member's national debt work the misgiving breaking contract don't reduce, more worry that the crisis spreads to the heavy weight member's country, Italy may become a piece of and prostrate bottom"many rice promises dominoes".At the same time, the euro area aims at further a negotiation of helping the Greece to also come to logjam.Analytical personage points out that Italy has become a market the object that pay attention to most in the near future, the obligation problem well leaves a reason for investor, the reaction of rating organization weighed worrying of investor more.

Italian premier shell Lu Si Ke Ni means on the 12th, Italy will carry out a main budget surplus this year, "need to exchange long-term victory by the sacrifice of the short date".The country's stock market the fall is up to 3.96% on the 11th, the opening quotations once mauled heavily over 4% again behind on the 12th.Henceforth, because Italy successfully published 6,750,000,000 the euros expects national debt(average rate of return 3.67%) for 12 months, points a beginning to sprung distinctly and upward.

Italy drive push a place with a draught wave point

Each big financing institution analyst has already started continuously warning Italian obligation risk and makes that country become "volcanic crater" of this crisis.Mark Pu and Mu Di to all mean, may lower Italian sovereignty reputation rating.Beautiful silver beautiful analyst Lin warns, if Italy appears a margin pressure or occurrence obligation crisis, will bring a graveness to influence and spread to euro area outside the nation.

The Italian and public obligation condition is rigorous, up to 2010 the end of every years, the country's public obligation shares GDP(GDP) specific weight to be up to 119%, just after being located on Greece, the row euro area member's country second.IMF anticipates, the Italian obligation has GDP this year the specific weight will rise to 120% further and arrive 2016 tiny decline to 118% at the end of every year.According to the Peng Bo agency data, second half year of this year, the Italian beard compensates 175,000,000,000 euros to expire bond and wills there are still 245,000,000,000 euro bonds expiring next year.

However, the Italian government public finance condition is more stable, up to the end of 2010, the Italian finance in the red is only GDP 4.6%, 7% of away below France and 9.2% of Spain.But Italian economy still the existence increase tired"chronic disease", the economic basic situation allows of no optimism.This year quarterly degree, the Italian GDP wreath compares tiny increase 0.1%, is lower than an euro of the area average level.In addition, the Italian exit lacks a competition ability and export quantity growth the trend is weak, the imports price upsurges, and the facing more does evil inferior external economic environment.The gold professional technical term(2)

At the same time, there is an evidence suggesting, Italian economy and minister of finance especially the thunder receive Di to probably resign.Especially thunder's receiving Di is the firmness of Italian public finance policy of retrenchment to promote, the market worries, if his resignation won't the benefit tighten measure through a new public finance at that country.

Because the market expects Italian national debt reputation to the nervous emotion upsurge of Italian obligation, May up to now for 10 years to break contract extend bill(CDS) price have already turned over some kind of.On the 12th, expect national debt rate of return to break 5.5% for Italy 10 years.This front, Greece, Ireland and Portugal all look for to help after expecting national debt rate of return and reaching to 7% for 10 years.

Aim at market's nervous emotion for Italian obligation, the European Central Bank executive committee member of committee Si Ma Ji points out on the 11th, the market dismay contains excesssive emotion, "Italy is a nation of abundance, is not likely to appear to have no phenomenon of dint repay debt but default forever".

Aid a rare negotiation to walk into dead the beard is together

On the 11th, euro area authorities the first inside hold two important meetings, try to keep obligation crisis from spreading toward Italy, and continue to negotiate the second run helps Greece project.Euro area member the country wealth long meeting announce a pronouncement to call behind:"All countries have already readied to adopt further measure and strengthen the system ability of the euro area holdout risk infection, may include the flexibility and scale of raising financial stability mechanism in Europe and prolong Greece obligation term and lower to help lending rate among them etc. measure."But the meeting didn't reveal actually will in when adopt what measure break current debt crisis logjam in Europe, didn't reach any materiality agreement as well.



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